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20121207
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CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 1:00pm EST
. >>> plus, a whild weild week fo market and with the ongoing fiscal cliff talks and the all-important jobs report coming out next week, we have smart ways to position your trades. the dow only down three points now. back in two minutes. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use. it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. syou know, i've helped alot ofof people save a lot of money. but today...( sfx: loud noise of metal object hitting the ground) things have been a little strange. (sfx: sound of piano smashing) roadrunner: meep meep. meep meep? (sfx: loud thud sound) awhat strange place. geico®. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. i put away money. i was 21, so i said, "hmm, i want to retire at 55." and before you know it, i'm 58 years old. time went by very fast. it goes by too, too fast. ♪ but i would do it again in
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 3:00pm EST
of these fiscal cliff talks that are causing such volatility in the market here? >> well, bill, as you said, we are long-term investors. we really don't find ourselves wanting to move things around that much. >> you're not playing these swings here? you don't buy on dips? >> we're not playing the dips and selling the volleys. >> are you expecting that we will be able to get into this market as better prices at lower prices at some point before year end? >> that would be a very short-term question. i don't know the answer to it. >> and you're not a short-term guy. >> eric, what about you? how are you allocating capital these days? >> you know, we're allocating capital much the same way we have been doing for the last few months, which is thinking, again, sort of long term like was just said. you can do things around the fringes, but they have to be, you know, considered a small move rather than something aggressive. we still don't have enough answers to know what the ultimate outcome is going to be. >> mark, what about you? you know, we tend to oversimplify. right now the feeling is resolution t
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 7:00pm EST
pointing on the fiscal cliff talks. take a listen to this. >> it's not acceptable to moo a me to you for members of congress to hold middle class tax cuts to hostage simply because they don't want tax rates on upper income folks to go up. >> the white house spent three weeks trying to develop a proposal, and they send one up here that calls for $1.6 trillion in new taxes, calls for a little not even $400 billion in cuts. it was not a serious proposal. >> all right. so where are we right now? even while the fate of our fragile economy hangs in the fiscal cliff balance, for that let's turn to our distinguished guests. peter goodman. he's the huffington post business editor on a former "new york times"man. we welcome back republican congresswoman nan hayworth and haddy heath, senior policy analyst with the independent women's forum. okay. so mcconnell laughed at the tim geithner proposal. and john boehner says we're at a stalemate. and president obama himself is kind of getting ugly about this enemy's list. we've seen this before from him. my proposal is, republicans have to come with a
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 4:00pm EST
. talk to us about that. >> the fiscal cliff, one of the things if we're really going to go over it and change the tax basis, the treasury has to call on corporate america to change the withholding tables. all of us get taxes withheld. if they're going to change what rate i'm going to be taxed at, they're going to have to change that table. that's not an overnight process. certainly, the treasury can't afford to let that go too long because everybody will be underwithheld. they'll get a big tax bill. there will be a riot among the people if that happens. what i'm watching is the treasury. if they get nervous enough, they'll ask them to change the tax tables. so far it looks like they smell a deal and haven't asked for it yet. you think we're going to get a deal? >> i think they may try to push it to the end. the other thing i'm watching for is the 17th when the president is due to take his family to hawaii. i don't think he wants to be in hawaii without a deal. something is going to come up. >> ron, what about you? >> i thought the resignation of senator jim demint, who was a sta
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 6:00am EST
talking about every morning here since the election. fiscal cliff, big, big issue. there are now, it seems, growing numbers of people on both the right and the left who would like to see us just go over that fiscal cliff. how big of a problem would that be? >> that would be a big problem. i actually still believe that those -- the democrats, the administration, republicans in the final analysis don't want to see that happen. they do understand that not only would that present a problem in the near term as we went over the cliff at the end of the year, but we still then have the whole debt ceiling fight that would transpire shortly into the new year. the issue isn't simply the negative result of going over the cliff, but it's also that business, consumers, everybody continues to hold back on the uncertainty. and we believe the economy is pretty well positioned potentially in 2013 if we can put this behind us. so i think a lot of what's going on is what you would expect to see in this negotiation, very public negotiation, which is not the best way to do it. i think at some point, the preside
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 4:00pm EST
. let's talk about allocating capital. what do i do in the face of uncertainty, fiscal cliff, global, how do you want to allocate capital? >> we've been advocating clients stay diversified and the clear recollection that central banks had desire to increase wealth effect among stock and bond holders. have you to be careful of long-only actions. we had implemented hedge funds into our investors' portfolios, looking for nondirectional strategies like long short equity, currencies, assets that aren't as directly influenced or don't have as much beta in them relative to typical equity and bond portfolio. >> great point. i guess, you know what, if i had to pick who is the face of 2012 for the year, you know how "time" does the person of the year, who's the face of 2012, i would say federal reserve, ben bernanke, he was there all year, stimulus, got to be there till 2015. is that the only thing we have going for us in terms of certainty in this market right here? >> they're certainly the biggest player. you know, we have a fed meeting coming up on the 11th. that will increase volatility in
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 4:00am EST
values of the year. this is the pursuit of perfection. >>> fiscal cliff talks are set to drag on as republican budget proposals are dismissed by the white house and top democrats. banking union talks take center stage today in brussels about finance ministers trying to find a deal for a single supervisory body. and australia central bank cuts interest rates to match their lowest level since the financial crisis. we'll talk airlines later. ahead of that, british airways say it's offering to imbalance the crew numbers. we'll keep our eyes on that. delta possibly bidding for a stake in injury gone atlantic. meanwhile there's other global news of significance. it is official, new royal highness on the way. after week of speculation, it's confirmed they're expecting their first baby. there are a number of bits of flash photography. the duchess is being treated in a central london hospital for severe morning sickness. book makers have been inundated with bets on what the new prince or princess might be called. joining us for more, michelle kozinski. good to see you. give us a sense
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 1:00pm EST
will speak later to steve leisman about the fiscal cliff talks. we'll have a preview and discuss what traders want to hear. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! oh...there you go. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! i'm gonna stand up to her! no you're not. i know. you know ronny folks who save hundreds of dollars switching to geico sure are happy. how happy are they jimmy? happier than a witch in a broom factory. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. how they'll live tomorrow. for more than 116 years, ameriprise financial has worked for their clients' futures. helping millions of americans retire on their terms. when they want. where they want. doing what they want. ameriprise. the strength of a leader in retirement planning. the heart of 10,000 advisors working with you one-to-one. together for your future. ♪ >>> goldman sachs earlier today cutting its outlook for gold and prices are closing right now. we have about a $2 loss in the gold market. sharon epperson is track being the action down at the nymex. sharon? >> gold prices are finishing the day basically flat here, s
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 4:00pm EST
tonight. >>> how do you profit from the fiscal cliff talks in washington? we'll have that trade, and it could put extra money in your wallet, whether the lawmakers reach a deal or not. >>> up next, the head of prudential pl sits down with me. we'll talk business globally. stay with us. >>> time to toast today's close with this. more and more shoppers are using their mobile devices to buy. mobile purchases were up more than 16% on black friday from a year earlier, according to ibm. so which device generated the most in mobile sales? a, the ipad. b, the android, or c, the iphone? find out next. music is a universal language. but when i was in an accident... i was worried the health care system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. can i help you? i heard you guys can ship ground
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 6:00am EST
the looming fiscal cliff. talked about business concerns as you head into the end of the year and even what to expect in 2014. bank of america has 55 million customers here in america. they represent one out of every two households. so moynihan has a very good idea about what consumers are doing and if they spending less because of the fiscal cliff. here's what he had to say. >> i'm more about business behavior than consumer behavior. people continue to spend, housing is a little better. all the things that affect stock market are in decent shape. the question was will everything going on cause them on slow down again. >> what are you you see rg businesses right now? >> almost a year and a halving a go, businesses getting concerned about the nature of the dialogue about the fiscal situation? washington and in europe and the issues that had to be dealt with long term and how it affects near term business in terms of what would be accelerated appreciation for investment in business. what will be the final demand. so the uncertainty factor started weighing in and caused everybody to be much mo
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 12:00pm EST
on negotiations breaks down the current fiscal cliff talks. is there a method behind what appears to be political madness? in advance of friday's jobs report, a surprising new look about what kind of companies are actually creating new jobs in this economy? we'll have some of the best job creators next hour. and, three things you need to understand about the new facebook messaging announcement. join us on "power." back to scott. >>> we'll see you in about 15 minutes. sometimes it's tough to buy the losers and sell the winners. you know that. let's play a little hold them or fold them, what stocks have made big moves of late. marathon petroleum up more than 78% year to date. joe, hold them or fold them? >> absolutely hold them. you're talking about a mid continent refiner here. secular momentum, clearly a strategy here like rg3 with your redskins, the game has changed and it's changed for years. >> all right. dish network, the stock five-year high, 45% move this year. hold them, fold them? >> i'm folding. i like the cable. not just because of comcast, but i like the cable sector better. very, very
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 6:00pm EST
. but again only on news of setbacks to the fiscal cliff talks. we're not going to go in and buy anything these days. you'll get some representative congressman, senator come on say you stupid idiot. you bought stock and i'm talking on a microphone. i'm sending the stock market down because there's no progress. we have not one but two huge analyst days next week. only one an opportunity to buy. starbucks is coming to town on wednesday. you better get ready for one terrific show as the one and only howard schultz i believe will tell you that business is smoking in so many places in china to the united states and that tebana will be the next generation starbucks as soon as the merger is completed. the next day yum brands. it's coming to town. that company will have some explaining to do. i will have more on what yums needs to tell us. the sting of the earnings shortfall last night will still be with us no matter how good kentucky fried chicken might taste. also we hear from lulu lem athletics. i got a situation for how to trade this wild stock. wait until it looks like it blew up. then buy
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 4:00am EST
. headline driven. but a good session on the back of that optimism for fiscal cliff talk. all except this glaring spot of red. shanghai composite finishing lower for yet another session. it keeps falling further and further. doesn't seem that there is anything that policymakers or investors can do to lift sentiment in this market. different story in the hang seng, rebounding up about 1%. so a tale of two very different markets. hang seng up nearly 20 percent year to date. if you're playing china in both markets, very, very different views. the kospi is up 1.2%. asx 200 up 0.7%. major miners in focus. bhp and ceo coming out with comments that we'll talk about later. we have the japanese market continuing their rally. it's been quite the rally over the last few week. topex you might want to watch. goldman sachs year's target up by some 8%. there is still up side of about 20%. you could see some gains if they are correct. but the knee he kay 225 recouping losses from yesterday to continue on that rally. up 1%. sharp was in focus today on talks that they may be signing some investment de
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 4:00am EST
on fiscal cliff talks. i think obama will be speaking at some point today. and so that's definitely what traders have been focused on. but still while we are holding these bid levels, really kind of chop type trade and not a lot of energy, not a lot of yiks for the most part. >> what about the slew of special difference sends we've be dividends we've been seeing? >> i think that's been encouraging for the most part. but one thing i just heard about the dividends from microsoft and oracle, but i heard pc sales for microsoft were off like 20 some% year to year. so while they came out with the windows 8 launch into the holidays, really it's kind of backfired for the most part and there hasn't been a lot of major response to that relative to some of the other apple type releases that we've seen. and again it's just faltering if you will. but i think the positive energy if you will certainly contributed as well as the economic data this terms of contributing to the up side activity. but it's a bit of a grind to the up side. again, not these -- other than wednesday, not these really huge moves
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 1:00pm EST
not talk about but it is something that's on the radar is that, as the fiscal cliff fears rise, interest rates fall on the 10-year. so the effect the fed would have from easing is already in -- already happening as a market reaction. >> steve, thank you. >>> when jeff kilburg is not fired up about the irish he is fired up about what mr. dudley said today. why? >> absolutely. he came out with very dovish comments. he lass a permanent vote and he is quite the confidant of ben bernanke. so he flat-out gave a wink-wink, there's something big coming in less than two weeks. >> he's been a dove for a long time though. no change but just to hear it articulated gives you some sense of -- >> it does. this could be a one-two punch. if the fomc comes out with additional measures, subsequent week later, all of a sudden they have the fiscal cliff resolution, bam, we could see a test of the 1,460 of the s&p. is there story in "the journal" about more action possible out of the fed. >>> taking a look at shares of advance auto parts reportedly the auto parts retailer put itself out for auction but the bi
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 3:00pm EST
'll be talking exclusively to two of the nation's top ceo on how the fiscal cliff will impact their businesses. that's later on in "the closing bell." stay with us. back in a moment. [ male announcer ] if you suffer from heartburn 2 or more days a week, why use temporary treatments when you can prevent the acid that's causing it with prevacid24hr. with one pill prevacid24hr works at the source to prevent the acid that causes frequent heartburn all day and all night. and with new prevacid24hr perks, you can earn rewards from dinner deals to music downloads for purchasing prevacid24hr. prevent acid all day and all night for 24 hours with prevacid24hr. >>> welcome back. the fight over the fiscal cliff heating up with both parties accusing the other of failing to offer substantial plans. >> to this point, that's right. without a deal, automatic spending cuts and higher taxes will kick in january 1st. that's something our next guest wants to avoid. we welcome back democratic congressman charlie rangel of new york. good to see you. welcome back. >> good to be back. >> we're at that awkward part of t
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 6:00am EST
which is this part being attributed to the comments. u.s. popped on fiscal cliff talks. for now markets like what they see. the exception as becky noted was the shanghai comcomposite, ugly ugly. it has continued to sink. in the meantime want to draw your attention to the bond wall because if you look at spain and italy, we've seen yields come down quite a bit. 5.25% is the level on the spanish ten year. 4.535 on italy. italy also auctioned off five and ten year debt. france and belgium seeing uncertain thunmad uncertain maturities. now, want to draw your attention to uk banks. we're waiting in just about two hours the levinson report on press ethics that was spawned of course spurred by the phone hacking. in the meantime bank of england's report on financial stability that caught the market's attention. strong words about banks needing to raise capital. that's still going on. hearing from paul tucker who was passed over for the next boe job. for the most part still seeing green arrows across the board. what accounts for the fact they're doing so well? for one we've known these concerns
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 6:00am EST
the same situation -- >> do you blame this on the fiscal cliff in part? >> it's part of it. we talk about four gray swans, eurozone, middle east, china, hard/soft landing, definitely soft in our view, and last but not least what's going on here. back to our conversation in may, we said all the focus on the eurozone crisis, it will turn to america pre-the election as it has done and post the election the fiscal cliff is a critical issue. and every day you get a different view. i was in washington, what, would weeks ago, came away very, very concerned because all the experts were negative. and then you sort of felt a little bit, you saw the president reaching out to business and vice versa. you saw the fix the debt movement and ceos making a strong move on the hill. but yesterday things took a turn for the worse. so i guess we'll have these ups and down, but most of the people i talked to wouldn't bet on a solution by december the 31st. in those circumstances, people are not going to make commitments. >> what if we have a solution by the middle of january? is that something that is -- 1 it
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 9:00am EST
when he talks to julia boorstin and live coverage of the president with remarks on the fiscal cliff before the business roundtable. can he convince corporate leaders he has the right solution for avoiding the fiscal cliff. one more look at futures this morning on a wednesday. look like open 28. "squawk on the street" is back in a minute. >> there's a look at citi. the news on the bank this morning cutting 11,000 jobs. still working on a percentage of what that is on the overall workforce. they think it will be a pretax charge of about a billion dollars. savings of 900 million in 2013. rising to about 1.1 billion in 2014. we'll keep an eye on that name. >> very big. >> yeah. shares of pandora taking a hit in premarket trade. online music service beat expectations with third quarter results. ceo joe kennedy says pandora's advertisers are displaying caution about spending because of the fiscal cliff. he'll be on "squawk on the street" at 11:40 eastern time. and netflix paying for exclusive rights to stream disney movies. a lot of happenings moving stocks in a big way. with pandora, ana
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 1:00pm EST
about the president who is going to take to social media this afternoon to talk about the fiscal cliff. what's he going to do? >> reporter: i think he's just going to engage with the american public. remember, a key element of the strategy that he's had ever since september of 2011 when the grand bargain talks broke out -- broke down and post-election he's made clear this is going to remain an element of his strategy, is campaigning with the public. he made that trip to pennsylvania last week. he's trying to use the public, which polls show agrees with him on some of the key questions like top rate, to put pressure on the congress to move. we'll see how effective that can be. certainly it hasn't been effecti effective heretofore but it is possible it could and the president believes having won the election he's on the high side. >> 2:00 on twitter. john, thanks very much. >>> one of the overhangs for the fiscal cliff for investors is what will happen on dividend tax rates. more and more corporations aren't waiting to find out exactly what happens with more than $22.5 billion worth of s
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 2:00pm EST
not going to talk about the fiscal cliff. i'm really here to talk about why men and women are investing differently, if that's all right. >> okay. so how are they investing differently, alexandra? >> our study is incredibly interesting. it is looking at millionaire men versus millionaire women. so what we found is women are investing more conservativively. so where they put their money for the past 12 months is cds and cash equivalents, individual bonds, and third is individual stocks. men are looking -- so twice as likely to want to get the best return. women are twice as likely to want to have a holistic financial plan. >> what i find really ironic in some of your findings here is that even though, as you just said, women often get the better return -- the men still feel wealthier. why is that? >> exactly. so men -- i mean the interesting thing is we looked at millionaires and men and women who had exactly the same amount of money, 80% of the men felt wealthy, 60% of the women. so i think what we're really finding here is that there's a huge emotional component to money. so women feel
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 7:00pm EST
to get to talks. we do not want to go off the fiscal cliff. that's why we quickly responded to another proposal to the president. but the president refused to have a discussion. >> there's other reports that say republicans are looking for a fallback position, if he can't get the capps on deductions for more tax revenues and so forth. and it's going to be tax rates that the republicans might just vote present. some might vote present. some might vote aye and deal with the rates next year is. that just pure press speculation or is there anything to it? >> look, those are all press stories that are out there. we're trying to solve a problem. because if that came to fruition, that does nothing to solve the problem. and we just have an unbelievable amount of growth in government where we have to control the spending. if we want to truly save medicare and social security, we've got to do something about it. that's what republicans have been proposing all along. we want to solve a problem once and for all. and that's why we haven't waited -- it's interesting that we're just now talking about
CNBC
Nov 28, 2012 7:00pm EST
reform or any sign of common ground plan to avert the coming tax and fiscal cliff. joining us to talk about this, we're going to get a gop response, senate republican conference chairman john thune of south documeakota. welcome back to the show. "the washington post" runs an editorial today saying it's time for the president to unveil some leadership on entitlement reforms and spending cuts because he hasn't done it. i want to ask you at the president's pep rally today, did you hear any of those leadership reforms on spending and entitlements? >> i certainly didn't and, by the way, good evening, larry, it's nice to be with you again. i don't find myself often agreeing with the editorial page of "the washington post" but this time they had it right. the president right now, the pep rally today is going out again on friday is really a continue ways of the campaign when in fact right now what he ought to be doing is trying to find some common ground with republicans, with congress up here on capitol hill because we've got to do something to avert this fiscal cliff. the only way we do tha
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 1:00pm EST
at bloomberg and talked about the republican offer from speaker boehner on the fiscal cliff resolution. he said it was out of balance because the speaker has not agreed to rate increases but the president identified a two-step process by which he is hoping still to reach an agreement before the end of the year, if he can get republicans to give on the top rate. he said that first of all, we can't do a fundamental tax reform in the next two weeks. we simply have to have a down payment before the end of the year and then commit to tax and entitlement reform during the year of 2013. he also specified, and i think this is significant, that he thought 300 to $400 billion over ten years is about what you could raise by closing loopholes and trimming deductions. this is a -- this is a way to come to grips with how to get to the revenue target the president wants. let's first of all listen to -- we have got a piece of sound from that interview. let's listen to the president. >> when you look at how much revenue you can actually raise by closing loopholes and deductions, it's probably in the range of $3
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 6:00am EST
the fiscal cliff and caterpillar's ceo joins us from the nyse to talk about the fix the debt campaign and more. you know anything we don't know, doug, that you can tell us about how this finally looks and whether we do it? >> i don't know if i know any more than you do or not, joe, but we've all been working hard to impress upon our leadership in washington how important this is not to go over the cliff. we had good sessions with republican leadership, democratic leaderships and with president obama in the white house. nobody over there wants to go over the cliff at this time, there's nothing that wants to do it. >> once we get over it, we hope it's a bridge to something that will help you and caterpillar compete better in the world. after the cliff, what do you want? is there any emphasis on corporate tax reform that we need or how to bring $2 trillion back to this country? aren't those things, did you talk about any of those or the cliff? >> we talked about all of those, long-term competitiveness for our country, immigration reform that needs to happen, and there's a lot of bipartis
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 6:00am EST
are higher, as well. in your morning headlines today, the fiscal cliff dominating the sunday talk show circuit. treasury secretary tim geithner expressing on meet the press that republicans will accept the president's plan to raise income taxes. >> what we're trying to do is make it more likely we come together on a good agreement for the american people that extends tax cuts for the middle class. we're going to start long-term deficits down, tough savings is part of that and investment, things that matter to the american economy. like frut, things to help americans to get back to work. we have a good chance to it now and it's very important we're going to do that. >> secretary geithner said that if republican leaders have alternatives on reducing the deficit, they need the offer their propose yaels to the government. >>> manufacturing activity in china has hit a new high. hsbc's manufacturing purchasing index came in at 55 in november. it separates expansion from contraction. and the latest twilight film was number one at the weekend box office for the thrt straid straight weekend. it
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 2:00pm EST
it will probably be very temporary. >> i wonder whether we've become so myopic in talking about the fiscal cliff and issues here in the u.s., talking about fiscal issues in europe, quietly forgotten that places in the world, hong kong, india, many indices at new 52-week highs. we're missing out. >> yeah. we've actually seen some very, very interesting -- there have been positive trends in the may crow data driving markets up. china has been a bright spot and we think that will continue to be a bright spot for probably the first half of next year. >> what do you mean by bright spot? their market is the lowest since january 2009. you mean bright spot economically speaking? >> yes. government has stepped in with more spending and we think that could actually support the economy actually for the first half of the next year. >> dan, prediction time at cnbc. i'm going to ask you to give us one or two predictions for 2013. >> we're finishing up our outlook right now. we have a decidedly optimistic outlook for us. i think if we can get this fiscal cliff thing out of the way in the u.s., the case for the
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 9:00am EST
data. >> back to you. >> thank you very much. >>> as talks over the fiscal cliff continue, you will want to hear what republican senator rand paul had to say about deficit reductions and the controversial norquist tax pledge. >>> also ahead -- >> still to come, with the fiscal cliff getting closer. >> if i was involved in a negotiation like that and everybody was purporting to be where they are, i would say an agreement was reachable. >> former centr [ male announcer ] how do you trade? with scottrader streaming quotes, any way you want. fully customize it for your trading process -- from thought to trade, on every screen. and all in real time. which makes it just like having your own trading floor, right at your fingertips. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. try our easy-to-use scottrader streaming quotes. it's another reason more investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. [ male announcer ] the way it moves. the way it cleans. everything about the oral-b power brush is simply revolutionary. oral-b power brushes oscillate, rotate and even
CNBC
Dec 2, 2012 6:00am EST
are concerned about the china growth story for a while. actually, before we were talking about fiscal cliff, that was a predominant conversation. as i look at it and combine it with fiscal cliff i am pessimistic. about high end consumers on one side, global growth on the other. it doesn't seem that great when the only thing that keeps the economy moving is the effect of wide deficits, monetary policies. i look at the whole thing, i am not feeling that good about it. >> we can put the data points together and string our own story together. we have to admit that in november consumer discretionary was the top performing s&p sector. scott, how do you account for that die verge ens? people are now getting concerned about the consumer? >> we are getting worried about the consumer in china. we knew the industrial story in china was problematic and the consumer was the good news. now we are worried about the consumer over here despite the fact that housing prices are improving and we are headed to the holiday. dan mentions tiffany. nordstrom's had a little tough time and mcdonald's which really hun
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 4:00pm EST
the fiscal cliff fuel even higher hospital bills, meanwhile? we're checking out health care next. we'll talk about the cliff's potential impact and obamacare and a host of ere issues as obamacare taxes take effect next month. >>> also, you give us a minute and a half, our panel of experts will give you their strategies in tomorrow's market. stay with us. don't miss it. [ male announcer ] this is joe woods' first day of work. and his new boss told him two things -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll work his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and game from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some good people to help guide him, and he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. it's just common sense. those little things for you, life's about her. but your erectile dysfunction - that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 12:00pm EST
in gold, but i think it's too early to call. we have geopolitical risk. we're talking about fiscal cliff, and we're forgetting about the weak economy in the uk. there are two things that i'm watching. i'm looking at central banks around the world constituent adding physical gold to their coffers to the opportunity of 400 tons. and a new investor class, the etp, investors holding 2600 tons of gold and the fourth largest holder. so when i start watching, if we start reducing those levels, maybe the top is in. by the way, the dollar is closer to the lows than it is to the highs, so keep an eye on the dollar as well. >> okay. it sounds like it's too early to call in your view. let's look at what goldman is cowling for. they're cutting their 3, 6 and 12-month targets. do you agree with those levels where you see it going long term and short term? >> jackie, you know, the numbers we have to watch right now, i don't know if i necessarily agree with those numbers. but the numbers we're looking at right now are the numbers we have covered on this show a few times. it's 1675 to 1672. that's the bi
CNBC
Dec 5, 2012 4:00am EST
. >>> talks between the white house and republicans over the fiscal cliff are grinding to a hold. house speaker john boehner dealing with division in the gop's ranks to his budget plan. we've got a shanghai surprise. china's mainland markets up over nearly 3% after beijing's new leaders called for economic stability and new business growth. and it looks like more austerity for britain. george osborne getting ready to release his autumn statement. >>> nokia shares a little bit high today. they are teaming up with china mobile, giving access to the world's biggest mobile phone markets. >>> if you just got up, very warm welcome to the start of your global trading day. stocks are on the front foot this morning. this is where we stand with u.s. futures. currently called up around about 30 points higher. the dow down, what, 13 points? the nasdaq called up just under 40 points. the s&p 500 at the moment is called up just over three points. it was down two points yesterday. european stocks doing a little built better. they were as flat as a pancake, as i've been saying. as flat as my pancakes.
CNBC
Nov 30, 2012 9:00am EST
making his case for action on the fiscal cliff today in pennsylvania. we'll talk to republican congressman jim gerlach from that state about the trip and what needs to happen to get a deal done. >> one thing is for sure, fiscal cliff comments from washington have been having an impact. >> i would hope our friends on the other side can turn off the campaign. >> we could have prevented this crisis months ago. by just simply adopting what passed in the senate. >> president obama is meeting with high profile chief executive officers today to talk about country's fiscal issues. >> we're here to support doing the right thing and putting america back to work. >> we don't legislate but we know the consequences of a failure to reach an agreement. >> only way democracy works is through compromise at the end of the day. >> i'm optimistic we'll continue to work together. >> our ultimate goal is an agreement that gets long-term deficit under control in a way that is fair and balanced. >> stocks trade on fiscal cliff comments from president obama and john boehner. >> no substantive progress
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 3:00pm EST
in a minute to talk about how her family's companies are preparing ife ini fiscal cliff. >>> and a developing story here. ron is now cla-- we're going to out the truth behind the spy game later. ♪ mom? dad? guys? [ engine turns over ] [ engine revs ] ♪ he'll be fine. [ male announcer ] more people are leaving bmw, mercedes and lexus for audi than ever before. take advantage of exceptional values customer erin swenson tbought so, i'm happy. today. sales go up... i'm happy. it went out today... i'm happy. what if she's not home? (together) she won't be happy. use ups! she can get a text alert, reroute... even reschedule her package. it's ups my choice. are you happy? i'm happy. i'm happy. i'm happy. i'm happy. i'm happy. happy. happy. happy. happy. (together) happy. i love logistics. >>> welcome back. we've been talking all week and for days about companies issuing these special dividends to get ahead of anticipated higher tax rates in the new year. now we find out many firms are actually borrowing money to pay out these dividends even though they have plenty of cash. why borrow the money n
CNBC
Dec 2, 2012 7:30pm EST
the talk about the looming fiscal cliff has you wondering what it means to you. we have advice on how potential changes to tax policy could impact your wallet and your investments in luckily 2013. donna rosato is "money" magazine's senior writer and good to have you back on the program. >> thank you. >> how does the fiscal cliff impact our personal decisions about what investments we make, what to buy or sell before the new year? >> there's a lot of worry about what it will mean for the individual investor. you need to think big term or long term. your long-term investment strategy shouldn't be dictated by tax policy. as warren buffett said in a recent editorial in the "new york times" he's met a smart investor who has seen a good investment opportunity who said i'm not sure i will do it because i'm worried about what the taxes will be. >> there are things that will happen over the near term that could impact. >> there are things you can do to put yourself in a better position. i would recommend that if you are thinking of taking capital gains, if you have appreciated investments this
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 9:00am EST
's moving this morning. >> happy tuesday. the fiscal cliff still being talked about here. there's a certain realization that the rough outlines of a deal are already available here. modest tax raises, some spending cuts, that's the real rub there. extent of spending cuts. the bad news if you want to look at it this way and i said it several times in the last few days, the era of american austerity is about to begin. we have seen some of it going on in parts of europe. it's about to begin here. my sense is that it will be gentle austerity in 2013 and into 2014. at least in the very beginning part of this thing. other good news, housing numbers and autos have been good recently. you saw toll brothers yesterday. gm did not bad although the trucking was light. the fed, they're going to continue to expand their qe program likely at the meeting on december 12th. depends on whether that's good or bad news to you. that will provide some cushion against austerity. so a mixed realization about where all of this is going. one of the reasons the markets are holding up well. the toll numbers. i want to
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 3:00pm EST
is recovering. if we were talking about the fiscal cliff two years ago they would never be able to let this fall through because we were close to recessionary times. we're out of recession. housing prices are beginning to recover. jobs are starting to come back. we're seeing, i think, a manufacturing renaissance back to north america. that is going to be positive through this. >> how much are you hanging your bullish hat on the amount of cash on the sidelines? you've identified already identified that. the fact corporations need to put that money to work, we're underinvested. your bullish call, seems to me, is based on those corporations finally getting off the dime and putting that money to work. is that the idea? >> it's a big part of it. how investment works, right, you build up capacity from a scarcity level, right? you have too much capacity and correct back down again. that was the '90s. we took on a bunch of capacitity and then the first ten years of this millennium we stripped out capacity when the rest of the world was building up capacity. now we have cash on the balance sheet we can s
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 1:00pm EST
service. >>> jim iuorio, let's talk about these fiscal cliff expectations. are you seeing anything in this debate, jim, that you think of as investable, actionable, right now? >> well, sure. we tend to think of this as a binary event. either we come to a solution or don't come to a solution. i say that's not the case. there's three different things. one we come to a solution the market accepts and likes, one that it hates or we go over the fiscal cliff. one that the market hates and going over the fiscal cliff seem more likely to me. either one will be an economic drag. i like procter & gamble, big companies with good cash flow that are somewhat recession proof. >> thank you very much, jim iuorio. >>> in the weeks before christmas, not a creature was stirring. not even the house. accept, of course, on twitter where one of the top trending words is cliffmas. in a fiscal cliffmas used in a tweet from the reformed broker, josh brown. according to the congressional daily, the hill, illinois senator dick durbin also jumped on the phrase this week, "21 days until christmas. 27 days until
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 3:00pm EST
here. up next, we're talking potential fallout from the the fiscal cliff with the head of economic bell weather fedex. fred smith will join me straight ahead. we'll get into that and a lot more. stay with us. >>> later, the ceo of the company that owns luxury brand gucci is warning sales could fall off if we don't get the fiscal cliff in order. hear from him later. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 when i'm trading, i'm totally focused. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and the streetsmart edge trading platform from charles schwab... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 gives me tools that help me find opportunities more easily. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i can even access it from the cloud and trade on any computer. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and with schwab mobile, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 i can focus on trading anyplace, anytime. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 until i choose to focus on something else. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 all this with no trade minimums. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and only $8.95 a trade. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 open an account with a $50,000 deposit, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and get 6 months commission-free trades. tdd#: 1-8
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 7:00pm EST
and for their economic growth. that may be a little hidden gem out there. all i'll say is with a lot of talk about fiscal cliff, including this program, bald it could be a problem, the stock markets are dissonant. they're dissonant in the chinese soft/hard landing and putting it into a soft landing. something good is going on out there. and we better keep a good eye on it. i'm sorry we don't have more time. >> i think there's plenty of good things. >> folks, you're not going to believe this, you're not going to believe this, the michigan statehouse has just passed a bill in favor of making that so-called union paradise a right-to-work state. yes, it's really true. right to work in michigan. thought it would never happen. we're about to talk to the governor of the great state of michigan about this incredible development after the break. no more union paradise. americans believe they should be in charge of their own future. how they'll live tomorrow. for more than 116 years, ameriprise financial has worked for their clients' futures. helping millions of americans retire on their terms. when they want. whe
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 4:00pm EST
$21 billion in assets under management. with the fiscal cliff hanging in the balance, how is the ceo putting that money to work? he joins me in a cnbc exclusive right now to talk about that and more happening in real estate and housing. nice to have you on the program. >> nice to be here. >> what are you hearing out there? what's your take first on the fiscal cliff? what are you seeing in terms of customers? how is it influencing your decisions? >> i'd say it's paralyzed everybody. you're hearing this from everybody. we all are sort of watching this dance in washington and not understanding, like -- i think it's common sense has left washington. you have to come up with spending cuts. i think those of us that will be targeted in a tax hike, which i don't consider a tax hike, really. i think the payroll tax cut, which didn't really work, it didn't boost the economy. also, the rising capital in income tax rates is acceptable, but only if the democrats get serious about cutting spending. >> so far, we haven't seen any real ideas in terms of -- >> it's a joke. it's a joke. you get more r
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 12:00pm EST
think that's the way they'll continue doing it up to the edge of the deadline on the fiscal cliff. >> you get any sense as you talk to the folks making these comments that they even care what the stock market does as they're speaking? >> reporter: yes. they do care. they're very aware it's tanking on various words that they're speaking as they're at the podium. but you've got to remember it's -- people on wall street think that a crash on wall street, a couple hundred points down in the dow, is a horrific, horrible thing. people in washington sometimes, some people, view it as a tactical tool that they can use to bludgeon the other side into getting what they want. a fall in the dow is not necessarily a bad thing from some perspectives here in washington, scott. >> eamon, thanks so much. eamon javers on capitol hill. see the dow jones industrial -- in fact, all three of the major averages moved back into positive territory. i don't know if this is because reid also said, look, we're not going to kick the can down the road. maybe the market's taking that as a positive, joe. >> list
CNBC
Dec 6, 2012 12:00pm EST
of special dividends being made before the fiscal cliff deadline. they are all the talk of twitter. the big question -- is it too late to buy in on a stock once the announcement's been made? tweet us your thoughts at cnbc "fast money" and we will unveil at 5:00 p.m. what's next? he's going to apply testosterone to his underarm. axiron, the only underarm treatment for low t, can restore testosterone levels back to normal in most men. axiron is not for use in women or anyone younger than 18. axiron can transfer to others through direct contact. women, especially those who are or who may become pregnant, and children should avoid contact where axiron is applied as unexpected signs of puberty in children or changes in body hair or increased acne in women may occur. report these signs and symptoms to your doctor if they occur. tell your doctor about all medical conditions and medications. do not use if you have prostate or breast cancer. serious side effects could include increased risk of prostate cancer; worsening prostate symptoms; decreased sperm count; ankle, feet, or body swelling; enlarge
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 5:00pm EST
javers joins us with the latest on the fiscal cliff negotiations in washington. eamon. >> and this is a big one, melissa. "the wall street journal" reporting just within the past few seconds here that according to republican congress aides who have talked to the wall street journal, they say they've obtained a copy of the white house's proffer here in the fiscal cliff negotiations. this is the proffer that apparently treasury secretary tim geithner was talking to republican leaders about today. wall street journal citing a number of specifics from this proposal. let me walk you through them and lay out the implications starting with what aides describe as the white house wanting $1.6 trillion in tax increases up front as part of any new deal. the white house wanting to continue the payroll tax credit or similar policy. the white house saying that it wants a permanent increase in the debt limit and pushing a one-year extension of jobless benefits plans. this one will be the kicker, i think, to any deal that might or might not get hashed out on capitol hill. "the wall st
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 12:00pm EST
with one month to go before the fiscal cliff. our traders for the hour, joe terranova, stephanie link, simon baker, josh brown. they're ready with your best plays right now. and joe terranova, play this market. >> 4:00 this morning when i got up, i turned on the screens. looked at where the market was and tweeted directly to stephanie. if you are a money manager, you were asked at 4:00 in the morning, why is the market here, why is it not lower? well, it's now 12:00, scott, and after the ism, the s&p futures trading 14, 15, the same question. why is the market here? it should be lower, given all the fundamentals going on in the marketplace right now. that tells you, there's something going on here psychologically that goes beyond the negativity that we see out of d.c. maybe the street is smarter than we expect. but you are seeing a little bit of a lift. and any market that's quiet, you never sell it. >> josh, the market is hanging in. >> short-term traders are really nervous about missing a santa claus rally. so you're seeing this kind of fade. the news reaction. in the absence of us
CNBC
Dec 4, 2012 6:00pm EST
out if you should be making a deposit coming up on "mad money." >>> with the fiscal cliff looming less than a month away. you would think that some would be getting hammered right now. and i'm not just talking about defense. think retail. if we go over the cliff, something that i have been telling you as of this weekend. that will deal a huge blow to the purchases power of most americans think about it. tax rates go up. >> boo. >> the payroll tax holiday goes away. unemployment benefits expire for most people and that is not even accounting for the layoffs. put it together, unless we get a deal, which won't be bad news for the single biggest consumer out there, retail. >> you would expect the whole retail cohort to be in trouble. things will get a whole lot worse. two weeks ago we got retail sales that showed a 3% decline. last friday's gdp indicated that it had decelerated to 1.4%. incomes are flat and hurricane sandy shut down the northeast for days and in some cases for weeks. even though we have had positive numbers from companies like home dep depot, the group would be flat lining
CNBC
Dec 3, 2012 6:00pm EST
avoid the fiscal cliff, the fact that the republicans put out an offer, like their old offer before the president won re-election, it does feel like the two sides are talking, but they appear to be talking past each other. the clock is ticking in washington. ticking against a dealing. i think the two sides seem to hate each other more than ever. i don't now, it seems like the last 72 hours i was hoping it was going to get better and it seems like it got worse. i spent a ton of time this weekend hanging with old college chum, grover norquist. he's as certain as ever that republicans who have impure thoughts about violating his no new tax pledge will be targeted at the primary level by tea party members. i'm taking this masterful behind-the-scenes player at his word that he controls almost all the republicans. because almost all of them signed his oath. so a deal could be tough. plus i'm now calling for no vacation without legislation. no vacation without legislation. because the holidays are slated to begin in a couple of weeks. which doesn't give enough time to get the job done. so
CNBC
Nov 29, 2012 7:00pm EST
. and that is illegal. first up, breaking news on the fiscal cliff front tonight, president obama offered his opening bid in budget talks with republicans, and we have eamon javers with all the details. good even, eamon. >> house republican aides are saying this was a new offer from temperature think geithner on capitol hill for a long series of meegts. there were varying report of whether or not he had made a specific new offer. in fact harry reid told me that he hadn't made a specific new offer. that said, republican sources are laying out the offer they say they got from the white house today. take a look at some of the specifics. you'll see what's prompting the reaction earp just talking about. they say what the white house is offering is 1.6 trillion in tax increases up front, to continue the payroll tax credit or a similar policy, what they call a permanent increase in the debt limits, a one-years extension of extended jobless benefits plan, and at least $50 billion in new spending. i talked to a house gop aide that said this offers a complete break from reality. that said, i also talked to the
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